Edward Lucas, 16/04/2015 You can not trust those who continue to sin. So now is not the time to taunt belated consensus among Western capitals about the severity of the problem, which has Putin's Russia.
From the Editor. Appeared as if the magazine, one of the objectives we have seen the publication of major Western thinkers in the Belarusian language. Edward Lucas (pictured) certainly one of them. He works as a journalist and analyst, and is co-editor of The Economist . Maybe that Lucas is the best expert on Eastern Europe in the West. This and future transactions are published with his consent.
The current consensus is incomplete. Whatever it may be a surprise for our diplomats, the problems started long before Putin. Even in 1994, the then President of Estonia Lennart measures did prophetic speech at a conference of the Union of the Baltic Sea in Hamburg, while condemning the direction of domestic and foreign policy of Russia, which she chose after the collapse of the Soviet Union. He stressed the self-proclaimed right to intervene in defense of the Russian "compatriots" abroad. Members of the Russian delegation (including small gray inconspicuous clerk addressed Vladimir Putin) are gone. Even earlier, in 1993, the year, the outstanding Russian ccl schedule 2013 immigrant Victor Yasman academic published a prophetic document, which outlined a new sinister ideology -evraziyanizm that the base for an anti-Western ideology of nostalgia for the Soviet Union, ccl schedule 2013 extreme nationalism and Orthodox religion.
We ignore these compelling and credible warnings and treated with contempt by the authors. We preferred the warm end of the Cold War term of relative freedom and peace in Europe and the opportunity to earn money for "new market," the former Soviet empire. In fact, the new Russia was a fictitious democracy flavored corruption. New Russia pretended that there was no legacy of Stalinism, ignoring the crimes committed against the oppressed nations in recent decades, not to mention the fact, to redeem them. In fact, Russia has maintained a belief that the fate of these territories has prepared ccl schedule 2013 to be the object of interest of Russia, whether they like it or not. KGBshnuyu machine of terror, too, was not destroyed - it just mutated.
The appearance of the former Kremlin KGBshniki ccl schedule 2013 happened in 2000, and since then, hundreds of billions of dollars in profits from oil and gas in the state treasury warmed Russian revisionism so it felt even Western ccl schedule 2013 foreign policy experts. Internal repression and aggression outside - these are dark stars, ccl schedule 2013 which defines the Kremlin is now on his way. Kremlin conceals the true story of Putin's rule: loss, incompetence, pomposity ccl schedule 2013 and, above all, the enormous theft.
Although svezhadasyagnuty consensus implies that Russia is a threat, not just a nuisance, there is also an excessive complacency. We believe ccl schedule 2013 that sanctions work, what kind of problems are limited to the Ukraine, and that a combination of diplomacy and patience will lead to victory in the end. Many staging three substantive ccl schedule 2013 issues. What does Russia want? Why did she win? And what can we do to stop it? The priority task of the Putin regime ccl schedule 2013 - to stay in power. Mode does not want to be overthrown people's anger that fueled the foreigners, or to be kept on aid rules of the international order imposed a cohesive alliance of other countries.
Thus, the initial task - to create a cordon sanitaire at borders, where (as admitted to me one day an elderly Russian), "there ccl schedule 2013 is nothing unknown ccl schedule 2013 to us, and nothing bad for us." This does not mean a military conquest. This means creating a soft hegemony on the basis of corruption, propaganda, economic ccl schedule 2013 dependence, the tactics of "divide and rule", sabotage ccl schedule 2013 and saber-rattling. While Russia is no longer the world zvyshmotsay, it has the ability to oppress any individual state's own borders in the south and west.
It is a springboard for another purpose: the end of the era of Western ccl schedule 2013 dominance in world affairs, especially in matters of European security. Russia sees (and fuels) increase in anti-Americanism in Europe. She notes that the Obama administration spends divided ccl schedule 2013 and timid foreign policy and monitors the growth of discontent among American policymakers and the ingratitude sknarlivastsyu Europe, when it comes to protection. NATO - ruined, the European Union - divided and perplexed.
Now to Russia vaguely looming ccl schedule 2013 new goal - the Baltic countries. Unlike ccl schedule 2013 Ukraine, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia are core members of the Western alliance. If one or more of the advanced countries to offend with impunity, it will be the end of NATO. And it can happen unexpectedly rapidly: Imagine one morning ccl schedule 2013 Russia will make a provocation - for example with train in transit through Lithuania to Kaliningrad. By lunchtime, she declared byazlёtnuyu zone that NATO failed to submit a reinforcement, and in the late afternoon to state that the charge warheads to delivery systems and use them in case of right
From the Editor. Appeared as if the magazine, one of the objectives we have seen the publication of major Western thinkers in the Belarusian language. Edward Lucas (pictured) certainly one of them. He works as a journalist and analyst, and is co-editor of The Economist . Maybe that Lucas is the best expert on Eastern Europe in the West. This and future transactions are published with his consent.
The current consensus is incomplete. Whatever it may be a surprise for our diplomats, the problems started long before Putin. Even in 1994, the then President of Estonia Lennart measures did prophetic speech at a conference of the Union of the Baltic Sea in Hamburg, while condemning the direction of domestic and foreign policy of Russia, which she chose after the collapse of the Soviet Union. He stressed the self-proclaimed right to intervene in defense of the Russian "compatriots" abroad. Members of the Russian delegation (including small gray inconspicuous clerk addressed Vladimir Putin) are gone. Even earlier, in 1993, the year, the outstanding Russian ccl schedule 2013 immigrant Victor Yasman academic published a prophetic document, which outlined a new sinister ideology -evraziyanizm that the base for an anti-Western ideology of nostalgia for the Soviet Union, ccl schedule 2013 extreme nationalism and Orthodox religion.
We ignore these compelling and credible warnings and treated with contempt by the authors. We preferred the warm end of the Cold War term of relative freedom and peace in Europe and the opportunity to earn money for "new market," the former Soviet empire. In fact, the new Russia was a fictitious democracy flavored corruption. New Russia pretended that there was no legacy of Stalinism, ignoring the crimes committed against the oppressed nations in recent decades, not to mention the fact, to redeem them. In fact, Russia has maintained a belief that the fate of these territories has prepared ccl schedule 2013 to be the object of interest of Russia, whether they like it or not. KGBshnuyu machine of terror, too, was not destroyed - it just mutated.
The appearance of the former Kremlin KGBshniki ccl schedule 2013 happened in 2000, and since then, hundreds of billions of dollars in profits from oil and gas in the state treasury warmed Russian revisionism so it felt even Western ccl schedule 2013 foreign policy experts. Internal repression and aggression outside - these are dark stars, ccl schedule 2013 which defines the Kremlin is now on his way. Kremlin conceals the true story of Putin's rule: loss, incompetence, pomposity ccl schedule 2013 and, above all, the enormous theft.
Although svezhadasyagnuty consensus implies that Russia is a threat, not just a nuisance, there is also an excessive complacency. We believe ccl schedule 2013 that sanctions work, what kind of problems are limited to the Ukraine, and that a combination of diplomacy and patience will lead to victory in the end. Many staging three substantive ccl schedule 2013 issues. What does Russia want? Why did she win? And what can we do to stop it? The priority task of the Putin regime ccl schedule 2013 - to stay in power. Mode does not want to be overthrown people's anger that fueled the foreigners, or to be kept on aid rules of the international order imposed a cohesive alliance of other countries.
Thus, the initial task - to create a cordon sanitaire at borders, where (as admitted to me one day an elderly Russian), "there ccl schedule 2013 is nothing unknown ccl schedule 2013 to us, and nothing bad for us." This does not mean a military conquest. This means creating a soft hegemony on the basis of corruption, propaganda, economic ccl schedule 2013 dependence, the tactics of "divide and rule", sabotage ccl schedule 2013 and saber-rattling. While Russia is no longer the world zvyshmotsay, it has the ability to oppress any individual state's own borders in the south and west.
It is a springboard for another purpose: the end of the era of Western ccl schedule 2013 dominance in world affairs, especially in matters of European security. Russia sees (and fuels) increase in anti-Americanism in Europe. She notes that the Obama administration spends divided ccl schedule 2013 and timid foreign policy and monitors the growth of discontent among American policymakers and the ingratitude sknarlivastsyu Europe, when it comes to protection. NATO - ruined, the European Union - divided and perplexed.
Now to Russia vaguely looming ccl schedule 2013 new goal - the Baltic countries. Unlike ccl schedule 2013 Ukraine, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia are core members of the Western alliance. If one or more of the advanced countries to offend with impunity, it will be the end of NATO. And it can happen unexpectedly rapidly: Imagine one morning ccl schedule 2013 Russia will make a provocation - for example with train in transit through Lithuania to Kaliningrad. By lunchtime, she declared byazlёtnuyu zone that NATO failed to submit a reinforcement, and in the late afternoon to state that the charge warheads to delivery systems and use them in case of right
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